Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ category

Retirement is Exhausting

September 9th, 2010
The Vagabond (film)
Image via Wikipedia

As many of you know, 2 months ago I quit my job to pursue a mini-retirement, and boy has it been busy! I never thought unemployment would keep me so active. I ceased nearly all online communications (ie. twitter and blogging) in order to re-assess my life’s direction, and now I’m finally getting back to the grind.

Here’s a brief recap of what I’ve been doing. I’ll go into more detail, however, on individual blog posts.

July 1 – Flew to Kansas City to surprise my brother for his birthday. I hung out with my brother almost exclusively for a few days, which was a blast. A few highlights of the birthday bash include convincing my brother’s law school friends that my name was Waltham and getting harassed by brother’s girlfriend for drinking and driving…under the influence of water (in her defense, she was slightly inebriated and thought I was walking around alcohol). July 4th was lame considering it got rained out, but such is life.

July 6th – 11th – Flew to Southern California to spend quality time with my parents. Quality time interspersed with hectic real estate craziness, as my parents are trying to find a nice home out there amidst the region’s financial ruin. What was amazing to me was seeing how many foreclosed properties had been destroyed by previous tenants as they rushed to rip out all appliances, faucets, toilets, etc before they got kicked out. Never have I seen so many nice houses that have been so tattered. I also played golf a few times at some of the resort courses out there (PGA West Palmer Private and Citrus) and managed to shoot an 86 and an 84, which is all the more impressive considering I hardly ever play golf any more.

July 12th – July 16th – Back in Kansas City to relax…except I didn’t relax…at all. Every morning by about 9:30, I was up with a cup of coffee analyzing the financial markets trying to investigate options mispricing and how to exploit this for financial gain. More about this in another blog update.  I literally didn’t see any friends during this period, regretfully, but I did spend some more good time with my parents.

July 17th  - July 18th – The Lake of the Ozarks! For those of you who don’t know, the lake is the largest man-made non-flood control lake in the US, and despite being very “country” is rather charming. We got to see our good family friends, the Naylors, and enjoyed tubing, sunbathing, swimming and jet skiing. This was my first time actually driving the jet ski (if driving is the correct verb).  I also managed to get hideously sun burned, which looked horrible given my already red complexion :-) .

July 19th – While I was supposed to come back to Boston on this night, Southwest airlines felt differently. Southwest decided to strand me in Chicago, and informed me that any hotel expense would be “out of pocket”. Luckily, I have a good friend in Chicago named Ed who was happy to take in a homeless man for a night. He offered me a comfortable couch and some homemade beer, which, for a 26 year old kid, is all I really need.  The following evening I left to come back to Boston.

July 20th – August 5th – Back in Boston, back to market research, back to freaking out about my future but calmed by the fact that I still have another month to figure things out.

August 6th – Sept 1st – Europe! Specifically, I was travelling to Bulgaria to attend my girlfriend’s brother’s wedding. Bulgaria in and of itself deserves a HUGE blog post, so you’ll have to wait.

Now I am officially back Stateside and I’m trying to figure out what to do with my life. I’ve got a lot of options, but unfortunately, I’m struck with the paradox of choice! Do I get my MBA? Do I investigate hedge funds more? Do I stay with the startup path?

I’ll keep you posted as I figure things out.

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Looking for a Co-Founder

June 18th, 2010
A 19th century architect at the drawing board
Image via Wikipedia

As many of you know, one of my more prominent side projects of late has been HapiMoney, a financial planning site aimed at young professionals. For the last few months, I’ve been developing the site, mostly on my own, on nights and weekends whenever I can find free time. Development has been slow considering I’ve had to teach myself html, css, and php – and now, I’ve reached the limits of what I can reasonably do by myself.

For this reason, I’m looking to scale, and I’m looking for, well, for lack of better words, a “rockstar”. While the term “rockstar” has been incredibly overused over the last few years, it really describes who I want – someone so disgustingly good that it makes you want to be their groupie.

Who (or what) you should be

  • Someone with demonstrable code – a site or side project that you’ve developed.
  • An affinity for design – you’ll notice that HapiMoney isn’t great, and it needs to be improved!
  • Expertise with html, css, mysql, and php for now. Ruby or Django would be a huge plus.
  • Someone who takes pride in clean code and fast prototyping.
  • You should have a brokerage account, and know the basics of personal finance.
  • You should be genuinely interested in personal finance!

Time requirements are very flexible. This is not a full time gig (yet) so if you are looking to just get your feet wet, this might be perfect for you. We all know that selecting a co-founder is a delicate process, so let’s get together over a beer and talk.

If you are interested please email me at alex@hapimoney.com or find me on twitter @alexanderking.

If you know someone who might be interested, please forward this on!

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Economics of Fuel Surcharges

June 2nd, 2010
I took this photo of a Southwest Airlines Jet ...
Image via Wikipedia

This summer,  I will be traveling to Bulgaria for a few weeks to enjoy the Mediterranean with my girlfriend. We’ve been looking at ticket prices over the last few months, and they’ve been incredibly high. I’ve started looking into why this might be and have come across two reasons.

First, airlines are cutting back capacity; some voluntarily, while others due to strikes. The recession meant cutting back everywhere, and now that demand is jumping, airlines are just happy to have planes packed again. Increased demand with decreased supply equals price increases.

Secondly, airlines have enacted costly fees. In my opinion, these fees are a scam, and are actually hidden from the consumer and labeled as “taxes”. In many cases the fees are almost as much as the flight itself! Let’s have a look:

  1. “Peak Travel Fees” – An extra $30 fee for tickets through Labor Day.
  2. “Fuel Surcharges” – In some cases $100-200 extra per flight for the cost of fuel.

Wait a second, isn’t fuel included in the price of a ticket? I’m certainly not paying for the comfort of stuffing my 6’3″ body into a coach seat, and I would think that the cost of transportation is included in the cost of a ticket. In reality, a fuel “surcharge” should really only apply if you buy your ticket and then after you purchase the ticket the price of fuel skyrockets….in which case, why hasn’t the airline hedged this risk by buying oil futures/options? Or are airlines forgetting that fuel makes up 30% of their operating expense  (look at the 10-k for Southwest if you’re curious) and planning for cost variations is encouraged.

But lets assume that this is expected for a second and that this fuel surcharge includes the FULL price of fuel, how much would  a passenger flying to Sofia expect to pay?

According to TravelMath, the flight to Sofia is just over 4,500 miles.  How Stuff Works estimates that an international flight burns .01 gallons of fuel per mile per person. Lastly, the spot price of jet fuel from the IATA is $2.04 per gallon.

Multiply all of this together and you get $92.50.

Thus, when you take into account the 4 legs of my round trip flight, you get 4 x $30 (for the summer peak fee) and 2 x $92.50 for the fuel fees which equals $305. And indeed, thats about where most of the flights fees are. Granted, most of this is hidden from view, so it’s just an estimate…but it all feels very sneaky to me.

So why does this occur? Flyers are INCREDIBLY price sensitive. Airlines used to offer all sorts of perks from gourmet meals to legroom to juggling midgets for entertainment. But when it comes down to brass tacks, people buy based on price. Allowing these fees encourages airlines to lower ticket prices for advertising and marketing purposes (only $300 to get to Europe! <tiny font> just pay $900 in fees! </tiny font>). And indeed, when you look at the varying prices the “cheapest ticket” is $787 with $490 in fees and the most expensive ticket is $1,179 with $160 in fees.  All told, there’s only $60 difference between the two.

Alternatively, during the fuel scare a few years back many airlines bought long term hedges on oil that allowed them to lock in a certain price on fuel. A few, such as Southwest, were smart and made a killing. Many, such as United, lost millions upon millions of dollars when the price of oil dropped.  I haven’t looked into this in any depth, but its possible that the airlines are locked into these bad contracts and the surcharge just makes whole any difference between the spot price of oil and the exorbitantly high price of oil the airlines paid for it.

My last throwaway hypothesis, and my most diabolical thought, is that these fees allow airlines to collude on prices while still looking competitive. “My price is $787 and my competitors price is $1,179!!”  Both airlines have almost identical total costs while still arguing perfect competition.

What do you guys think? Will competition erode these excess fees?

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Slam Poetry

May 27th, 2010

There’s something about slam poetry – or poetry in general, really – that inspires me.  It takes the same structure as a good comic performing at a hot night club, weaving a story – but poets go so much deeper. Instead of just the cheap laugh, poets make you laugh, make you cry, and will surprise you in ways that you never thought possible.

One of my favorite slam poets is a guy who goes by Rives.  He’s thin and bald(ing), and has skin so white alabaster is the first word that comes to mind…but he can captivate an audience. He’s performed for Def Jam and even the TED conference a few times, and I thought I’d share a few of his videos here.

The first one is performed at TED and is based on the hypothetical that Rives controlled the internet. It’s a wild ride.

Favorite line:

Some days I’m as shallow as a baking pan, but I still spread for miles in all directions

The next video is about Rives teaching at a high school for the deaf (yes, he’s actually fluent in sign language as well as Greek and Latin).

Favorite line:

Last night, I dreamt that I was little again

and I could hear back then

but the silence

in my house

was deafening.

The last video I’ll show you is him detailing a love story – its hilarious and breathtaking at the same time.

Favorite line:

Maybe, I’m saying maybe, I put on your slippers which were as comfortable as bunnies – because they were bunnies!

Do you have a favorite poet? Poem?

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Tricked you!

March 1st, 2010

I got an astounding full 4 clicks for my post on Brownian Motion :-) . Truth be told, I knew it would be small, and I guess I’m surprised I tricked even 4 of you into learning about something this nerdy.

In other news, I had my first shopping experience at the Russian Baazar today – and might I say it was an amazing experience. One of the worst things about living in the Northeast compared to the Midwest is how terrible grocery store produce is. And typically to get good fresh fruits and vegetables, you have to go to a store like Trader Joes (or Harvest Co-op for me), which typically run 15-30% more expensive than a place like Star Market. But now, I’ve been introduced to the Baazzar which features produce similar to the high end grocery stores at prices half of what they are in Star Market. I don’t know how they do it, and it’s probably some sort of illegal front, but I love it and will continue to go back.

New Site Theme

February 6th, 2010

Thoughts? I had the pleasure of editing a bit of CSS in order to get it how I like it, so let me know if I’ve screwed up in some way.

Startups are a Science Experiment

January 24th, 2010
Prof. Dunn, reading book and posed with stoppe...
Image by George Eastman House via Flickr

The good thing about failure is that it allows us to learn, so I suppose it’s a good thing that I’ve failed quite a bit, especially at my last startup. One of the things I eventually learned is that startups are to be treated as a science experiment. But first, let me describe a tremendously dangerous mentality that all startup founders have.

First, you come up with an idea which you think is pretty good. You talk to your friends and family, and everyone seems to think its a good idea. Thus, you jump into development of this idea, wholly believing in the premise that this is a good idea…after all, you wouldn’t be developing it if it wasn’t. But your product takes a while to develop, months go by and you don’t want to release  a shoddy product, so you work on perfecting it – bugs could kill you, scalability could kill you, bad UI could kill you…

The problem is, your idea sucks. Or at least it’s untested and the market hasn’t had time to tell you whether or not it’s a great idea. At my last startup, we fell into this trap, and it took 2 years before the first beta version was released to the world. Think about that – developing in a vacuum for 2 YEARS before there was any market feedback. We released a stable, mature, scalable product which promptly received very little usage.  I brought hundreds of thousands of visitors to our site through PR, advertising, SEO and word of mouth, yet active user growth stagnated, and churn was nearly 100%.  We felt pretty ridiculous.

That’s when I realized that we had developed a technology with no awareness for our market, and by the time we realized our mistake and launched into full scale market research, it was nearly too late.

I’ve said it before, but Peter Drucker has a great quote about how business has only two functions: marketing and innovation.  And one without the other fails.

As such, the most important component of any early stage startup is to: 1) determine if your technology can be built and 2) determine if people want your product.  The end result is what most people call product/market fit.

Startups as a Science Experiment

Every science experiment has 5 components:

  1. Research
  2. Problem
  3. Hypothesis
  4. Experiment
  5. Results

You will use each of these steps to test your market and technology.

Research: What products are currently available. How are people using them? What problems are they having? What needs are unmet? You will establish a broad understanding of the market and technology options available.

Problem: What specific problem will you attempt to solve?

Hypothesis: Here is when you establish the who/what/when/where/why/how of your startup. It must be testable and more importantly, measurable.  At my last company we should’ve said something like “lawyers who research case law need annotation tools to generate reports for their clients (and are willing to pay for this possibility)”.

Experiment: If you have an enterprise startup, this is when you hit the pavement and start talking to your end users before you’ve written a line of code. Determine if your particular technology implementation is valuable to them.  Do they have this problem? Do they KNOW they have this problem? Have they actively tried to find a solution? If you can answer yes to all three of those questions, you’ve hit the jackpot. If you have a consumer play, the easiest thing to do is build what you consider to be a minimum viable product (buggy as all hell and literally only a way to capture data), then release it. Follow the creed, “release early, release often”.  This is not a time to be a perfectionist, this is a time to collect data, so if you find yourself building a product to do anything other than prove the technology works, STOP.

Results: Compile all of your data, look it over, and see if you need to collect anything else. What does your data tell you? Did you prove or disprove your hypothesis? If you’ve disproved it, hypothesize and test again.

Moral of story, stop building for perfection and start testing your market.

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I hate Microsoft

December 6th, 2009

Okay, so I don’t hate Microsoft. That said, I am incredibly annoyed with them. 3 hours on telephone support and counting…but more on this in a bit.

Image representing Windows as depicted in Crun...
Image via CrunchBase

3 years ago, I decided I was done with blue screens of death, viruses and technology that was 2-3 years behind the competition. I also decided I was cheap, so I jumped to Linux (eventually decided on Ubuntu). Over the years, I’ve had my ups and downs with Linux.  My first installation of Red Hat wouldn’t recognize my wireless card, and after 2 hours of trying to figure out the command line, I decided I would simply try another distro.

So Suse it was, and by virtue of their glorious developers, my wireless worked! I played around with it, but had a hell of a time figuring out how to install any programs.  I’m a smart guy, and it just wasn’t intuitive coming from a Windows environment.  After a few weeks of messing around, I came across Ubuntu and didn’t look back.  All of my hardware was detected, and I didn’t have to go scrounging for drivers.

And for 3 years, I was happy. From time to time, we would fight, but things were more or less domestically blissful. Problems began bubbling up in the last few releases, and finally my graphics card was no longer supported by AMD or Xorg.  Full screen videos were unbearably choppy, and lets face it, How I Met Your Mother, Community, 30 Rock and Sunny are NOT going to be watched in some tiny window.

So I decided to jump back to Microsoft and see what the raving about Windows 7 was about.  So I installed,  and prayed. Turns out that Linux has a better installation process, it turns out that Microsoft doesn’t recognize my wireless and  it turns out they don’t recognize my video card. No drivers are available from Broadcom and none from ATI. Fail.

So I’ve officially returned to Windows XP, so that I can enjoy hardware accelerated video. And what a pain it has been. Microsoft doesn’t recognize any of my hardware, so it meant spending over an hour trying to find all the most recent drivers to use, and it also meant trying to activate my “genuine” Microsoft product. Just my luck, my product key no longer works (for god knows what reason) and I’ve spent the last 3 hours on hold with my favorite ex.  Oddly, I miss the ease of use of Linux and can only anticipate returning after upgrading my hardware (eventually).

*update* Microsoft finally provided me with a new Product Key that worked. What a pain.

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The Shoe Shine Survey

October 18th, 2009

A while back, I was talking with my father who was lamenting that no one shines their shoes anymore. Maybe it’s our (and by our, I mean today’s young whippersnappers) lack of respect for the ritual, or perhaps it’s ignorance of the benefits, but it’s just not happening. Anyways, I’m curious why, so would you guys help me by taking this quick survey?

Click here, it’s only 3 questions.

Who Cares?

October 15th, 2009

My boss recently went to “Startup Bootcamp” at MIT where a bunch of different founders were giving advice on running a startup. After one of the talks, a founder was asked how to hone his marketing message. He said that after each iteration of a message ask, “who cares?” and if your message doesn’t adequately answer this question, then it’s not perfect.

Word.